Tropical Gordon has formed yesterday near Florida. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) currently has Gordon as a tropical storm with 60 mph 52 knots 97 km/h winds. It is a rather small tropical storm. Tropical storm force winds extend up to 60 miles 52 nautical miles 97 kilometers.
Most of the forecast models have Gordon making landfall somewhere between Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. There is a remote chance that Texas could get hit by Gordon. Looks like Gordon could make landfall as early as tomorrow. The intensity forecast models are mixed.
Most keep Gordon as a tropical storm due to its fast motion. A couple have Gordon as a Category 1 hurricane. Due to its small size and warm water, I would not be surprised if Gordon becomes a Category 2 or even 3 hurricane before landfall. Intensity forecast models are not reliable.
The Gulf Of Mexico water is on the warm side from NOAA/AOML-Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential. If conditions are right, Gordon could rapidly intensify as it travels over the Loop Current of the Gulf Of Mexico. Gordon is likely to be a small hurricane before landfall.
The NHC issues probability of where hurricane force winds may occur.
The highest probability for hurricane force winds are off the coast. If Gordon makes landfall as a hurricane, the coastal areas would most likely feel hurricane force winds. Inland areas would have tropical storm force winds with occasional hurricane force gust.
Here is my take.
-Gordon will likely become a hurricane by tomorrow.
-Gordon is most likely to make landfall along the Central Gulf Coast.
-Strong winds and heavy rain will be the main problem.
For anyone in the warning areas, please take heed the warnings. Storm surge and flooding are not something to mess with.