Hurricane Matthew has ravaged the Florida coast despite staying offshore and not making landfall. Now, it has its sight on South Carolina. Even though Matthew is a Category 2 hurricane with 105 mph winds and central pressure of 948 millibars. It is still a dangerous hurricane. Not a forced to be reckon with.
Even though Florida did not get hit by the “dirty” side of the hurricane, it did a number on the state in form of storm surge and flooding. Flooding and storm surge are very dangerous. More people die in them than from high winds. More reason to evacuate. Looking at Doppler radar, looks like South Carolina and North Carolina could be in a rough ride from the “dirty” side of Matthew.
The heat map forecast of where Hurricane Matthew goes shows a possible landfall on South Carolina and North Carolina. Another possibility, it will stay offshore and still ravage South Carolina and North Carolina, like it did to Florida. This time, they are on the “dirty” side. The “dirty” side have the strongest winds and heaviest rain. Where Matthew goes is anyone’s guess at this point. It may go south and weaken into a tropical storm. Interesting to note another hot spot has it looping southward towards the Bahamas. The forecast intensity has a weakening trend.
Most forecast models have Matthew weakening as it ravages the Carolinas. By tomorrow night, it could be a Category 1 hurricane or strong tropical storm. Regardless, it will be a dangerous event for the Carolinas because of heavy rain and flooding. Doppler radar estimates show 4 to 6 inches of rain has fallen over Savannah and Hilton Head. The heaviest rain looks to be over South Carolina and North Carolina.
As Matthew gets closer, the winds will get stronger with heavier rains. Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina could experience winds of 60 to 90 mph with gusts of 90 to 135 mph. Rainfall totals for South Carolina and North Carolina could be in the neighbor of 10 to 15 inches of rain. Some areas could see as much as 20 inches of rain once it is all over.
On top of heavy rain, South Carolina and North Carolina will have to deal with deadly storm surge. Many areas could see 6 to 9 feet storm surge. Some areas could see storm surge as high as 12 feet. The storm surge is mostly a problem in Georgia and South Carolina. The evacuation was the right call. As they say, hide from wind run from water. Storm surge is the reason why people evacuate.
It is going to be a rough Friday night to Saturday for Carolinas. Hopefully everyone who needed to evacuate, evacuated. Storm surge from hurricane is not a force to reckon with.
In Haiti, 877 lives have been lost. The death toll in Haiti is staggering from Hurricane Matthew. The death toll is no doubt going to climb with potential epidemic of water borne diseases like cholera. There have been 17 reported cases of cholera in Haiti, which is the tip of the iceberg. This is could be Haiti’s deadliest disaster since the January 12, 2010 Earthquake, which claimed 316,000 lives.